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Red30
81813.5
125041.1
Blue40
144724.3
12317.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions582501001502003040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1250
Unranked
41.12.7
34.631.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.8
1447
Unranked
24.31.4
13.514.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
818
Unranked
13.53.1
20.217.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
123
Unranked
17.91.4
15.416.8
Auto
Teleop
End