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Red105
30822.1
40639.9
Blue85
24524.0
23529.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3939020608010010585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
406
Unranked
39.97.6
19.026.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.7
235
Unranked
29.25.8
17.423.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
308
Unranked
22.18.2
20.528.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
245
Unranked
24.05.8
20.926.8
Auto
Teleop
End