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Red0
30117.2
31311.3
Blue15
103717.9
40639.9
31%Model gave it69%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32590100150200015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
301
Unranked
17.22.9
17.514.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.7
406
Unranked
39.93.4
33.229.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
313
Unranked
11.34.3
17.112.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.7
1037
Unranked
17.95.1
22.517.4
Auto
Teleop
End