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Red60
30117.2
51529.9
Blue40
24524.0
12317.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404902060801001201406040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
515
Unranked
29.91.4
26.828.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
245
Unranked
24.01.0
29.928.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
301
Unranked
17.21.4
14.315.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
123
Unranked
17.91.0
17.816.8
Auto
Teleop
End