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Red20
121636.8
100015.4
144724.3
Blue115
40639.9
102333.7
30822.1
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8710105015020025020115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1216
Unranked
36.81.7
40.438.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
406
Unranked
39.90.4
41.241.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1447
Unranked
24.32.1
28.726.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.4
1023
Unranked
33.70.4
35.035.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1000
Unranked
15.42.1
19.817.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.7
308
Unranked
22.10.4
23.323.7
Auto
Teleop
End