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Red15
7921.1
5916.2
Blue125
23352.7
66538.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4352010015020025015125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79
Unranked
21.13.6
24.420.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 31.6
233
Unranked
52.79.3
26.335.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
59
Unranked
16.23.6
19.415.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.3
665
Unranked
38.59.3
24.433.7
Auto
Teleop
End