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Red65
40810.3
140242.4
Blue100
139023.3
94553.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4650010015020065100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1402
Unranked
42.42.3
31.633.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.7
945
Unranked
53.16.4
24.530.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
408
Unranked
10.32.3
14.817.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.0
1390
Unranked
23.36.4
24.631.0
Auto
Teleop
End