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Red110
108336.1
17944.1
Blue65
38629.6
31158.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5668010015020025011065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
Unranked
44.16.6
30.637.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 14.3
311
Unranked
58.50.2
36.936.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1083
Unranked
36.16.6
26.633.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
386
Unranked
29.60.2
29.629.4
Auto
Teleop
End