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Red90
136816.8
23352.7
Blue15
58220.7
134115.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions562801001502009015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
Unranked
52.74.6
37.642.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 32.0
582
Unranked
20.72.0
19.517.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1368
Unranked
16.84.6
15.520.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
1341
Unranked
15.52.0
11.69.6
Auto
Teleop
End