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Red30
18020.2
106817.7
Blue120
84535.1
76245.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3055020408010012014016030120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
Unranked
20.20.3
23.923.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 25.3
762
Unranked
45.58.5
28.136.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1068
Unranked
17.70.3
8.88.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.3
845
Unranked
35.18.5
24.032.5
Auto
Teleop
End