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Red100
125126.5
94553.1
Blue10
106817.7
58220.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions793505010015010010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
945
Unranked
53.12.8
49.252.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 32.3
582
Unranked
20.73.3
19.916.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1251
Unranked
26.53.0
25.328.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
1068
Unranked
17.73.3
20.116.9
Auto
Teleop
End