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Red10
5916.2
134115.5
Blue15
12424.5
140242.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4055020801001201401015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59
Unranked
16.23.7
20.116.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 26.2
1402
Unranked
42.44.2
44.840.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1341
Unranked
15.53.4
21.418.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.1
1242
Unranked
4.54.2
9.04.8
Auto
Teleop
End