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Red15
5883.3
18620.9
Blue95
7921.1
45922.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343420304050701595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186
Unranked
20.92.0
25.623.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
459
Unranked
22.46.6
18.024.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
588
Unranked
3.32.0
8.16.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.8
79
Unranked
21.16.6
15.622.3
Auto
Teleop
End