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Red70
31236.6
7921.1
Blue25
134115.5
136816.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443501001502007025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
312
Unranked
36.63.4
21.825.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.9
1368
Unranked
16.80.0
16.816.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
79
Unranked
21.13.4
21.024.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
1341
Unranked
15.51.2
15.516.8
Auto
Teleop
End