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Red65
58220.7
10811.9
Blue35
18020.2
5916.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2338060801006535

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
582
Unranked
20.74.0
16.720.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
180
Unranked
20.20.2
20.320.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
108
Unranked
11.94.0
7.811.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
59
Unranked
16.20.2
16.416.2
Auto
Teleop
End