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Red70
136427.6
126317.9
Blue20
126114.9
108111.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353602060801007020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1364
Unranked
27.65.2
27.622.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.7
1261
Unranked
14.91.8
20.518.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1263
Unranked
17.94.5
17.922.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
1081
Unranked
11.21.8
14.112.3
Auto
Teleop
End