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Red30
116621.4
14409.1
Blue40
140616.1
141412.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33280501001503040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1166
Unranked
21.40.3
17.016.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
1406
Unranked
16.11.4
14.516.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1440
Unranked
9.10.3
15.315.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
1414
Unranked
12.61.4
13.915.4
Auto
Teleop
End