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Red45
14079.4
118315.3
Blue110
49456.7
141517.2
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4778010015020025045110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1183
Unranked
15.30.7
30.329.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 41.3
494
Unranked
56.73.8
59.463.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1407
Unranked
9.40.7
19.919.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.8
1415
Unranked
17.24.4
15.319.7
Auto
Teleop
End