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Red55
137921.1
28130.7
Blue85
126317.9
104020.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433102060801001205585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
Unranked
30.71.6
21.322.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.5
1040
Unranked
20.26.6
17.123.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1379
Unranked
21.11.6
20.722.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
1263
Unranked
17.96.6
15.421.9
Auto
Teleop
End