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Red40
14409.1
49456.7
Blue25
12987.8
143615.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84330501001502002504025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
Unranked
56.73.8
63.259.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 41.4
1436
Unranked
15.21.7
18.516.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1440
Unranked
9.14.8
15.010.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
1298
Unranked
7.81.7
19.918.2
Auto
Teleop
End