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Red70
118315.3
105742.3
Blue35
129914.1
118029.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions644201001502007035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1057
Unranked
42.31.0
32.433.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.2
1180
Unranked
29.11.2
22.821.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1183
Unranked
15.31.0
29.730.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
1299
Unranked
14.11.2
21.520.3
Auto
Teleop
End