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Red20
104020.2
80718.7
Blue120
49456.7
112715.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions367505010015020020120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1040
Unranked
20.22.6
23.621.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 36.4
494
Unranked
56.74.5
59.463.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
807
Unranked
18.72.6
16.814.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
1127
Unranked
15.16.2
11.417.6
Auto
Teleop
End