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Red20
3430.5
8329.3
Blue10
44213.2
11399.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383601001502002503002010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34
Unranked
30.52.3
27.825.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.3
442
Unranked
13.23.3
16.313.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
832
Unranked
9.32.3
10.48.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1139
Unranked
9.43.3
20.216.9
Auto
Teleop
End