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Red100
126114.9
100235.2
Blue35
143615.2
129914.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5235020608010012014010035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1002
Unranked
35.25.0
35.740.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.0
1436
Unranked
15.20.3
16.816.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1261
Unranked
14.96.3
14.320.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
1299
Unranked
14.10.3
20.320.0
Auto
Teleop
End