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Red80
105144.4
116621.4
Blue20
112715.1
136916.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5637020801001201401608020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1051
Unranked
44.43.2
34.137.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 27.9
1369
Unranked
16.52.3
21.218.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1166
Unranked
21.43.2
20.123.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
1127
Unranked
15.12.3
17.615.2
Auto
Teleop
End