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Red120
28130.7
105144.4
Blue30
105742.3
44213.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5962020408010012014012030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1051
Unranked
44.47.5
37.344.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
1057
Unranked
42.33.8
46.843.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
281
Unranked
30.77.5
23.030.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.5
442
Unranked
13.23.8
13.59.7
Auto
Teleop
End