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Red20
136427.6
138012.6
Blue40
140616.1
129914.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453502060801001201402040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1364
Unranked
27.63.0
26.323.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.6
1406
Unranked
16.10.5
19.119.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1380
Unranked
12.63.0
17.914.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
1299
Unranked
14.10.5
16.617.2
Auto
Teleop
End