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Red120
49456.7
129914.1
Blue15
131125.6
141517.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions623505010015020025012015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
Unranked
56.77.6
40.948.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 31.1
1311
Unranked
25.62.9
17.314.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1299
Unranked
14.111.7
14.125.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
1415
Unranked
17.22.9
20.517.7
Auto
Teleop
End