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Red40
112715.1
104020.2
Blue25
131125.6
126114.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365501001504025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1040
Unranked
20.20.2
21.722.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
1311
Unranked
25.63.5
34.831.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1127
Unranked
15.10.2
16.216.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1261
Unranked
14.93.5
18.514.9
Auto
Teleop
End