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Red25
141517.2
8329.3
Blue125
3430.5
136427.6
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2453040608010012014025125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1415
Unranked
17.20.2
17.417.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.3
34
Unranked
30.58.8
26.435.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
832
Unranked
9.30.2
9.59.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.3
1364
Unranked
27.69.4
23.332.7
Auto
Teleop
End