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Red130
64746.6
97147.6
Blue15
8032.4
90424.7
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8544010015020013015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
Unranked
47.65.3
42.047.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.3
80
Unranked
32.43.3
28.725.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
647
Unranked
46.64.9
38.943.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.9
904
Unranked
24.72.5
19.617.1
Auto
Teleop
End