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Red80
51854.7
34122.5
Blue90
110840.6
35843.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79880501502002503008090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
518
Unranked
54.70.0
54.754.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.1
358
Unranked
43.70.2
45.946.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
341
Unranked
22.50.0
24.925.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.0
1108
Unranked
40.60.2
41.041.3
Auto
Teleop
End