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Red60
115719.6
31438.2
Blue100
53738.1
71417.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55440208010012014060100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
Unranked
38.20.5
30.430.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
537
Unranked
38.14.6
31.335.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1157
Unranked
19.60.7
23.624.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
714
Unranked
17.04.1
14.018.1
Auto
Teleop
End