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Red70
108611.6
68632.2
Blue25
93824.8
36531.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454202060801007025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
Unranked
32.23.2
33.937.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
365
Unranked
31.91.3
20.619.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1086
Unranked
11.63.2
10.713.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.2
938
Unranked
24.81.9
21.819.9
Auto
Teleop
End