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Red25
9646.4
28436.5
Blue125
2043.4
44739.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4187010015020025025125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
284
Unranked
36.51.9
40.038.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
20
Unranked
43.43.9
46.450.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
964
Unranked
6.42.3
6.23.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 33.2
447
Unranked
39.63.2
36.139.3
Auto
Teleop
End