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Red20
9999.4
38433.8
Blue135
22269.7
45724.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions378405010015020020135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
Unranked
33.82.6
27.525.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 35.9
222
Unranked
69.74.2
67.171.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
999
Unranked
9.42.0
14.412.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.1
457
Unranked
24.56.1
12.018.1
Auto
Teleop
End