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Red80
26335.1
31438.2
Blue95
35843.7
130548.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions629101502002503008095

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
Unranked
38.21.1
30.832.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.9
1305
Unranked
48.10.7
42.042.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
263
Unranked
35.11.1
34.035.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.5
358
Unranked
43.70.5
46.246.8
Auto
Teleop
End