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Red50
17733.0
34122.5
Blue15
19221.3
90424.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69290501001502005015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
Unranked
33.01.1
34.533.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.3
904
Unranked
24.71.4
17.115.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
341
Unranked
22.51.1
30.429.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
192
Unranked
21.31.4
16.114.8
Auto
Teleop
End