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Red20
88815.6
68632.2
Blue85
51854.7
139322.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions518601001502002502085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
Unranked
32.24.0
37.133.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.6
518
Unranked
54.70.3
61.561.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
888
Unranked
15.63.8
17.613.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
1393
Unranked
22.50.2
20.720.9
Auto
Teleop
End