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Red30
541.6
83031.7
Blue100
10018.4
78251.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7758010015020030100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5
Unranked
41.63.3
44.641.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.9
782
Unranked
51.53.3
44.948.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
830
Unranked
31.73.3
30.126.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.4
100
Unranked
18.43.0
15.418.3
Auto
Teleop
End