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Red100
110840.6
64746.6
Blue10
86842.1
1208.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8554010015020010010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
647
Unranked
46.61.5
45.446.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
868
Unranked
42.15.5
40.935.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1108
Unranked
40.61.5
36.137.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 32.2
120
Unranked
8.33.5
16.312.7
Auto
Teleop
End