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Red30
68632.2
17338.1
Blue70
56950.2
81212.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions754701001502003070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173
Unranked
38.13.1
38.635.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.2
569
Unranked
50.21.5
42.844.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
686
Unranked
32.24.5
33.028.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.7
812
Unranked
12.52.0
7.69.5
Auto
Teleop
End