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Red135
23660.2
121847.8
Blue80
93824.8
26335.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11251015020025013580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236
Unranked
60.22.7
58.461.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.0
263
Unranked
35.11.7
35.136.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1218
Unranked
47.82.2
46.849.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.1
938
Unranked
24.82.1
22.024.1
Auto
Teleop
End