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Red30
15740.9
9999.4
Blue140
54832.2
53738.1
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5872010015020025030140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157
Unranked
40.92.2
47.144.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
537
Unranked
38.15.2
35.540.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
999
Unranked
9.42.5
12.49.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 22.8
548
Unranked
32.27.5
35.042.5
Auto
Teleop
End