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Red15
101429.3
31438.2
Blue125
9349.0
38433.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions618705010015020025015125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
Unranked
38.23.7
32.128.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.8
93
Unranked
49.03.1
57.460.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1014
Unranked
29.33.7
31.928.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
384
Unranked
33.84.1
26.830.9
Auto
Teleop
End