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Red150
49241.1
56950.2
Blue10
39823.4
1208.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions863705010015020015010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
569
Unranked
50.25.2
44.349.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.9
398
Unranked
23.42.4
29.326.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
492
Unranked
41.15.2
36.541.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 32.8
120
Unranked
8.32.4
12.710.3
Auto
Teleop
End