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Red135
121847.8
17338.1
Blue95
135946.9
19221.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8950015020025013595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
Unranked
47.83.8
49.052.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
1359
Unranked
46.93.0
40.643.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
173
Unranked
38.13.8
35.539.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.8
192
Unranked
21.33.0
13.816.8
Auto
Teleop
End