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Red110
29631.5
15740.9
Blue25
103137.0
108611.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions786205010015020011025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157
Unranked
40.92.5
44.947.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
1031
Unranked
37.02.9
45.142.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
296
Unranked
31.52.5
31.734.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.9
1086
Unranked
11.63.9
18.814.9
Auto
Teleop
End