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Red140
90424.7
36531.9
Blue55
9646.4
86842.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414020608010012014055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
Unranked
31.97.5
21.829.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.2
868
Unranked
42.11.7
35.437.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
904
Unranked
24.77.5
18.726.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.3
964
Unranked
6.41.4
4.25.6
Auto
Teleop
End