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Red110
4236.2
10018.4
Blue145
54832.2
121847.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45640100150200110145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42
Unranked
36.26.8
35.942.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.6
1218
Unranked
47.86.3
35.441.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
100
Unranked
18.44.7
10.915.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.8
548
Unranked
32.210.4
26.136.6
Auto
Teleop
End